The acclaimed and award-winning journalist Dan Gardner discusses the book he co-authored with academic Philip Tetlock, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (Signal, 2015), with Joseph Planta.
|Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner (Signal, 2015).
Click to buy this book from Amazon.ca: Superforecasting
Text of introduction by Joseph Planta:
I am Planta: On the Line, in Vancouver, at TheCommentary.ca.
Dan Gardner joins me again. He’s the co-author of a brilliant book, one that’s gotten great notices and is a bestseller: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. It’s written with Philip E. Tetlock, the Canadian-born academic who is a professor in the psychology and political science departments at the Wharton School of Business. The book relies on the research Tetlock undertook with the Good Judgement Project, a study he co-leads with his wife Barbara Mellers. Their study looks at the forecasts ordinary volunteers make, and how they’re just as good as say those marquee pundits we see in the media, or even those made by intelligence analysts at big corporations or high up in government. The book is terribly engaging in how superforecasters work and why we believe them. Dan Gardner has been on before for his two previous books, Risk, and Future Babble. He has won numerous awards for his journalism. He is the editor of Policy Options. His website is at www.dangardner.ca. The book is published by Signal, which is an imprint of McClelland & Stewart. Please welcome back to the Planta: On the Line program, in Ottawa today, Dan Gardner; Mr. Gardner, good morning.